In recent months, the question has been asked more and more often - why should we vote since it will most likely be the same, we have the same parties, we will get the same winners and the situation will not be fundamentally changed. It makes sense to vote.
This was stated to Radio "Focus" the sociologist from "Alpha Research" Genoveva Petrova on the occasion of the latest survey of the sociological agency.
According to her, at first glance the picture looks very similar to the one we had last year:
"GERB enters this election campaign as the favorite with 25.4% support from those who have decided to vote and with a very high mobilization for participation. GERB and DPS sympathizers are the most mobilized for the upcoming vote. On the other hand, PP-DB - the other part that was part of the government until recently - enters the race with weaker support and wavering positions. This was largely due to the attacks and public scandals, but these attacks on the other hand mobilized her staunchest supporters, in which she managed to retain the second position with 17.5%.
According to the sociologist, however, with the PP-DB, the absence of the electoral periphery is becoming more and more evident - the voters are not part of the strongest core, but in previous elections they had arguments to vote for them.
"A similar situation is observed in the field, which we tentatively call the left populist field, where we observe a very active exchange of sympathizers and voters between parties such as "Vazrazhdane", "BSP", "The Left", the newly formed coalition "Solidarna" Bulgaria". Here, too, there is relatively weak mobilization, which we expect will bring dynamics to the support of each of these parties in the course of the campaign," Petrova explained.
She noted that one of the main questions is to what extent the dispersion of the vote on the left will help some of the parties stabilize their positions, and others, respectively, end up with weaker positions.